{"@context":{"@vocab":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/schema/1.0/","rdfs":"http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#","dc":"http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/","dcterms":"http://purl.org/dc/terms/","foaf":"http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/","prism":"http://prismstandard.org/namespaces/basic/2.0/","cinii":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ns/1.0/","datacite":"https://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4/","ndl":"http://ndl.go.jp/dcndl/terms/","jpcoar":"https://github.com/JPCOAR/schema/blob/master/2.0/"},"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360002214544918528.json","@type":"Article","productIdentifier":[{"identifier":{"@type":"DOI","@value":"10.1002/esp.2248"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fesp.2248"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/esp.2248"}}],"resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","dc:title":[{"@value":"Without power? Landslide inventories in the face of climate change"}],"description":[{"type":"abstract","notation":[{"@value":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT</jats:title><jats:p>Projected scenarios of climate change involve general predictions about the likely changes to the magnitude and frequency of landslides, particularly as a consequence of altered precipitation and temperature regimes. Whether such landslide response to contemporary or past climate change may be captured in differing scaling statistics of landslide size distributions and the erosion rates derived thereof remains debated. We test this notion with simple Monte Carlo and bootstrap simulations of statistical models commonly used to characterize empirical landslide size distributions. Our results show that significant changes to total volumes contained in such inventories may be masked by statistically indistinguishable scaling parameters, critically depending on, among others, the size of the largest of landslides recorded. Conversely, comparable model parameter values may obscure significant, i.e. more than twofold, changes to landslide occurrence, and thus inferred rates of hillslope denudation and sediment delivery to drainage networks. A time series of some of Earth's largest mass movements reveals clustering near and partly before the last glacial‐interglacial transition and a distinct step‐over from white noise to temporal clustering around this period. However, elucidating whether this is a distinct signal of first‐order climate‐change impact on slope stability or simply coincides with a transition from short‐term statistical noise to long‐term steady‐state conditions remains an important research challenge. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.</jats:p>"}]}],"creator":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380003442670362114","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Oliver Korup"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Institute of Earth and Environmental Sciences University of Potsdam  Germany"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380003442670362113","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Tolga Görüm"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Department of Earth System Analysis, Faculty of Geo‐Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC) University of Twente  Enschede The Netherlands"},{"@value":"Yıldız Technical University Natural Science Research Center  Esenler 34220 İstanbul Turkey"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380003442670362112","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Yuichi Hayakawa"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Center for Spatial Information Science The University of Tokyo  5‐1‐5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba 277‐8568 Japan"}]}],"publication":{"publicationIdentifier":[{"@type":"PISSN","@value":"01979337"},{"@type":"EISSN","@value":"10969837"}],"prism:publicationName":[{"@value":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms"}],"dc:publisher":[{"@value":"Wiley"}],"prism:publicationDate":"2011-11-15","prism:volume":"37","prism:number":"1","prism:startingPage":"92","prism:endingPage":"99"},"reviewed":"false","dc:rights":["http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor"],"url":[{"@id":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fesp.2248"},{"@id":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/esp.2248"}],"createdAt":"2011-10-21","modifiedAt":"2023-10-30","foaf:topic":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=Institut%20f%C3%BCr%20Geowissenschaften","dc:title":"Institut für Geowissenschaften"}],"project":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1040282257156829568","@type":"Project","projectIdentifier":[{"@type":"KAKEN","@value":"23701028"},{"@type":"JGN","@value":"JP23701028"},{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-23701028/"}],"notation":[{"@language":"ja","@value":"岩盤河川縦断面形における気候変化の痕跡の抽出"},{"@language":"en","@value":"Extraction of climate change signals from bedrock river longitudinal profiles"}]}],"relatedProduct":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360011145166257408","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Long-Term Memory: A Natural Mechanism for the Clustering of Extreme Events and Anomalous Residual Times in Climate Records"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360285710979171072","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Rainfall conditions, typhoon frequency, and contemporary landslide erosion in Japan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360292619962085760","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Climate Change 2007"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360292620010651648","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslide erosion controlled by hillslope material"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360292620884059136","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Sediment flux from a mountain belt derived by landslide mapping"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360574095346075136","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Paraglacial geomorphology"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360846640349515648","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslide susceptibility mapping of the Sera River Basin using logistic regression model"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360848656242958592","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Relationship between landslide size and rainfall conditions in Taiwan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360855567864990208","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Power-Law Distributions in Empirical Data"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360855570247585408","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"7 Billion and Counting"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360855571428176256","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslide volumes and landslide mobilization rates in Umbria, central Italy"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361137044163389312","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Natural hazards, extreme events, and mountain topography"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361137044905206912","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Comparing landslide inventory maps"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361137046061030784","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Turbiditic trench deposits at the South-Chilean active margin: A Pleistocene–Holocene record of climate and tectonics"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361137046252813312","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Recent climatic change and catastrophic geomorphic processes in mountain environments"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361418519526553728","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslide rupture and the probability distribution of mobilized debris volumes"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361418521266239104","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Temporal correlations and clustering of landslides"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699994546405504","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Giant landslides, topography, and erosion"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699994601688576","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Climate change and geomorphological hazards in the eastern European Alps"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699994765414784","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"The power–law relationship between landslide occurrence and rainfall level"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699995400624384","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Temporal changes in suspended sediment transport in a gullied loess basin: the lower Chabagou Creek on the Loess Plateau in China"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699995404242048","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Ice, moraine, and landslide dams in mountainous terrain"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699995808384896","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Characterization and comparison of landslide triggering in different tectonic and climatic settings"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361699996302557312","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Holocene mass wasting on upper non‐Polar continental slopes—due to post‐Glacial ocean warming and hydrate dissociation?"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361981469271349888","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslide inventories and their statistical properties"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361981469678661632","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Real and apparent changes in sediment deposition rates through time"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361981470006967040","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Influence of typhoons and earthquakes on rainfall-induced landslides and suspended sediments discharge"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361981471093008896","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Submarine mass movements on glaciated and non-glaciated European continental margins: A review of triggering mechanisms and preconditions to failure"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361981471102187904","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Mudslide‐caused ecosystem degradation following Wenchuan earthquake 2008"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362262944873339136","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslides as a geomorphological proxy for climate change: A record from the Dolomites (northern Italy)"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362262946263784064","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Self-organized criticality: An explanation of the 1/<i>f</i>noise"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362262946352066304","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"The chaos to come"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362544420388316544","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"The temporal stability and activity of landslides in Europe with respect to climatic change (TESLEC): main objectives and results"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362825893594026496","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Linking continental-slope failures and climate change: Testing the clathrate gun hypothesis"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362825894820390016","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"The potential impact of climate change on typhoon-triggered landslides in Taiwan, 2010–2099"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362825895536040192","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Inventory of landslides triggered by the 1994 Northridge, California earthquake"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362825895870341888","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Mass wasting triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake is greater than orogenic growth"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1362825895872172800","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Power laws, Pareto distributions and Zipf's law"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363107368859311616","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Fluvial responses to climate and sea‐level change: a review and look forward"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363107369824366720","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Introduction to land-use and climate change impacts on landslides"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363107370111113472","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Climate change effects on landslides along the southwest coast of British Columbia"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363388843832384256","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Causal link between Quaternary paleoclimatic changes and volcanic islands evolution"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363388845252910720","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Characteristics of the size distribution of recent and historical landslides in a populated hilly region"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363388845964804736","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Deciphering the effect of climate change on landslide activity: A review"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670318635285376","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Recent and future warm extreme events and high-mountain slope stability"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670318643235200","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Evidence of a changing size–frequency distribution of landslides in the Kyrgyz Tien Shan, Central Asia"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670319509175168","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Sedimentary impacts from landslides in the Tachia River Basin, Taiwan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670319877465984","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Size distributions and failure initiation of submarine and subaerial landslides"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670320574558592","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Ecology, evolution and 1f-noise"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363670321059865216","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Analytical and observational relations between landslide volume and surface area"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363951793814957824","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Rock avalanches and other landslides in the central Southern Alps of New Zealand: a regional study considering possible climate change impacts"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1370861286787621761","@type":"Product","relationType":["references"]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1574231874322745600","@type":"Article","relationType":["references"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Rock control on magnitude-frequency distribution of landslide"},{"@value":"Rock control on magnitude‐frequency distribution of landslide"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/2051151842096313984","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Rainfall intensity-duration conditions for mass movements in Taiwan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/2051433317008512000","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Landslides triggered by an earthquake and heavy rainfalls at Aso volcano, Japan, detected by UAS and SfM-MVS photogrammetry"}]}],"dataSourceIdentifier":[{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1002/esp.2248"},{"@type":"KAKEN","@value":"PRODUCT-14334243"},{"@type":"KAKEN","@value":"PRODUCT-14334258"},{"@type":"OPENAIRE","@value":"doi_dedup___::0d902b2bb0601f079bea1e66a1b520b9"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1186/s40645-018-0169-6_references_DOI_13ch399jeSGfQld7oSWQusDojdV"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1130/g35680.1_references_DOI_13ch399jeSGfQld7oSWQusDojdV"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1186/s40645-015-0049-2_references_DOI_13ch399jeSGfQld7oSWQusDojdV"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1007/s11069-016-2591-7_references_DOI_13ch399jeSGfQld7oSWQusDojdV"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1007/s10346-016-0790-7_references_DOI_13ch399jeSGfQld7oSWQusDojdV"}]}