{"@context":{"@vocab":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/schema/1.0/","rdfs":"http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#","dc":"http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/","dcterms":"http://purl.org/dc/terms/","foaf":"http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/","prism":"http://prismstandard.org/namespaces/basic/2.0/","cinii":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ns/1.0/","datacite":"https://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4/","ndl":"http://ndl.go.jp/dcndl/terms/","jpcoar":"https://github.com/JPCOAR/schema/blob/master/2.0/"},"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360574092887963136.json","@type":"Article","productIdentifier":[{"identifier":{"@type":"DOI","@value":"10.1029/1999gl010948"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1029%2F1999GL010948"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/1999GL010948"}}],"dc:title":[{"@value":"Atlantic hurricanes and NW Pacific typhoons: ENSO spatial impacts on occurrence and landfall"}],"description":[{"type":"abstract","notation":[{"@value":"<jats:p>Hurricanes are the United States' costliest natural disaster. Typhoons rank as the most expensive and deadly natural catastrophe affecting much of southeast Asia. A significant contributor to the year‐to‐year variability in intense tropical cyclone numbers in the north Atlantic and northwest Pacific is ENSO — the strongest interannual climate signal on the planet. We establish for the first time: (1) the spatial (0.5 degree grid) impacts of ENSO on the basin‐wide occurrence and landfall strike incidence of hurricanes and typhoons; (2) the spatial (7.5 degree grid or US state level) statistical significance behind the different incidence rates in warm and cold ENSO episodes; and (3) the effect of strengthening ENSO on regional strike rates and significances (hurricanes only). Our data comprise 98 years (1900–97) for the Atlantic and 33 years (1965–97) for the NW Pacific. At the US state level, we find several regions where the difference in landfalling incidence rate between warm and cold ENSO regimes is significant at the 90% level or higher. Our findings offer promise of useful long‐range predictability to seasonal forecasts of landfalling tropical cyclones.</jats:p>"}]}],"creator":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380025431133568156","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"M. A. Saunders"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380574092887963137","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"R. E. Chandler"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380574092887963138","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"C. J. Merchant"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380574092887963136","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"F. P. Roberts"}]}],"publication":{"publicationIdentifier":[{"@type":"PISSN","@value":"00948276"},{"@type":"EISSN","@value":"19448007"}],"prism:publicationName":[{"@value":"Geophysical Research Letters"}],"dc:publisher":[{"@value":"American Geophysical Union (AGU)"}],"prism:publicationDate":"2000-04-15","prism:volume":"27","prism:number":"8","prism:startingPage":"1147","prism:endingPage":"1150"},"reviewed":"false","dc:rights":["http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor"],"url":[{"@id":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1029%2F1999GL010948"},{"@id":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/1999GL010948"}],"createdAt":"2002-09-17","modifiedAt":"2023-09-23","relatedProduct":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1050869456407396224","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset"},{"@value":"Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of the Philippines summer monsoon onset"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360025431133568128","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Seasonal predictability of tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific by a large-ensemble climate model"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360285714452116480","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Abrupt Climate Shift in the Mature Rainy Season of the Philippines in the Mid-1990s"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360565166661036416","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1390001206505739904","@type":"Article","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Multi-model Projection of Global Warming Impact on Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency over the Western North Pacific"},{"@value":"Multi-model Projection of Global Warming Impact on Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency over the Western North Pacific(<Special Edition>Evaluations of CMIP3 Model Performance for Various Atmospheric and Oceanic Phenomena, Part I)"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1390021990398810880","@type":"Article","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Seasonality in the ENSO-Independent Influence of Tropical Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1390282681481903488","@type":"Article","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Interannual Changes of Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Western North Pacific"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1390852049741506048","@type":"Article","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Recent Weakening of the Interannual Relationship between ENSO Modoki and Boreal Summer Tropical Cyclone Frequency over the Western North Pacific"},{"@language":"ja","@value":"ENSOモドキと夏季の台風発生数との間にみられる関係の近年の弱化"}]}],"dataSourceIdentifier":[{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1029/1999gl010948"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1038/s41612-025-00995-0_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1186/s40645-017-0138-5_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.3390/atmos9090350_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1029/2009gl038108_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.2151/jmsj.2021-051_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.2151/jmsj.2011-305_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.2151/jmsj.2025-013_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.2151/jmsj.87.525_references_DOI_TyvZGnHEvm5G7JLchSKRwPoUDsO"}]}