{"@context":{"@vocab":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/schema/1.0/","rdfs":"http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#","dc":"http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/","dcterms":"http://purl.org/dc/terms/","foaf":"http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/","prism":"http://prismstandard.org/namespaces/basic/2.0/","cinii":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ns/1.0/","datacite":"https://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4/","ndl":"http://ndl.go.jp/dcndl/terms/","jpcoar":"https://github.com/JPCOAR/schema/blob/master/2.0/"},"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360857593672618752.json","@type":"Article","productIdentifier":[{"identifier":{"@type":"DOI","@value":"10.3390/atmos12060662"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/662/pdf"}}],"resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","dc:title":[{"@value":"Ensemble Dispersion Simulation of a Point-Source Radioactive Aerosol Using Perturbed Meteorological Fields over Eastern Japan"}],"description":[{"type":"abstract","notation":[{"@value":"<jats:p>We conducted single-model initial-perturbed ensemble simulations to quantify uncertainty in aerosol dispersion modeling, focusing on a point-source radioactive aerosol emitted from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) in March 2011. The ensembles of the meteorological variables were prepared using a data assimilation system that consisted of a non-hydrostatic weather-forecast model with a 3-km horizontal resolution and a four-dimensional local ensemble transform Kalman filter (4D-LETKF) with 20 ensemble members. The emission of radioactive aerosol was not perturbed. The weather and aerosol simulations were validated with in-situ measurements at Hitachi and Tokai, respectively, approximately 100 km south of the FDNPP. The ensemble simulations provided probabilistic information and multiple case scenarios for the radioactive aerosol plumes. Some of the ensemble members successfully reproduced the arrival time and intensity of the radioactive aerosol plumes, even when the deterministic simulation failed to reproduce them. We found that a small ensemble spread of wind speed produced large uncertainties in aerosol concentrations.</jats:p>"}]}],"creator":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380857593672618881","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Tsuyoshi Thomas Sekiyama"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba 3050052, Japan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1420564276169608576","@type":"Researcher","personIdentifier":[{"@type":"KAKEN_RESEARCHERS","@value":"00447939"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"1000000447939"},{"@type":"ORCID","@value":"0000-0002-3988-0565"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000414922560"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000370282036"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000413571071"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000001340797"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000240064542"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000396128616"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000388504680"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000399765021"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000283236920"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000021359164"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000327097696"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000327097732"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000413351938"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000399936664"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000413889003"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000022657066"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000408576237"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000286633702"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000392819242"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000258409625"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000404149119"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000404336167"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000411952324"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000402244068"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000413563302"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000327097754"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000413546394"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000409848220"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000412151312"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000408576263"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000408785277"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000402247713"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000408576318"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000388514989"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000409182178"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000273002784"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000409848246"},{"@type":"NRID","@value":"9000327097723"},{"@type":"RESEARCHMAP","@value":"https://researchmap.jp/kajinomizuo"}],"foaf:name":[{"@value":"Mizuo Kajino"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba 3050052, Japan"},{"@value":"Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba 3058572, Japan"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380857593672619008","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Masaru Kunii"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo 1058431, Japan"}]}],"publication":{"publicationIdentifier":[{"@type":"EISSN","@value":"20734433"}],"prism:publicationName":[{"@value":"Atmosphere"}],"dc:publisher":[{"@value":"MDPI AG"}],"prism:publicationDate":"2021-05-22","prism:volume":"12","prism:number":"6","prism:startingPage":"662"},"reviewed":"false","dcterms:accessRights":"http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2","dc:rights":["https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"],"url":[{"@id":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/662/pdf"}],"createdAt":"2021-05-23","modifiedAt":"2025-10-11","foaf:topic":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=radioactive%20cesium","dc:title":"radioactive cesium"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=Meteorology.%20Climatology","dc:title":"Meteorology. Climatology"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=ensemble%20spread","dc:title":"ensemble spread"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=plume%20dispersion","dc:title":"plume dispersion"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=QC851-999","dc:title":"QC851-999"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=data%20assimilation","dc:title":"data assimilation"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=probabilistic%20simulation","dc:title":"probabilistic simulation"},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/all?q=Fukushima%20nuclear%20accident","dc:title":"Fukushima nuclear accident"}],"project":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1040282256939004160","@type":"Project","projectIdentifier":[{"@type":"KAKEN","@value":"17K00533"},{"@type":"JGN","@value":"JP17K00533"},{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-17K00533/"}],"notation":[{"@language":"ja","@value":"トレーサー濃度と気象観測値の同時データ同化による移流拡散シミュレーション高精度化"},{"@language":"en","@value":"Simultaneous data assimilation of wind velocities and tracer 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