{"@context":{"@vocab":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/schema/1.0/","rdfs":"http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#","dc":"http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/","dcterms":"http://purl.org/dc/terms/","foaf":"http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/","prism":"http://prismstandard.org/namespaces/basic/2.0/","cinii":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ns/1.0/","datacite":"https://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4/","ndl":"http://ndl.go.jp/dcndl/terms/","jpcoar":"https://github.com/JPCOAR/schema/blob/master/2.0/"},"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1361137045301636096.json","@type":"Article","productIdentifier":[{"identifier":{"@type":"DOI","@value":"10.1073/pnas.1215506110"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.1215506110"}}],"dc:title":[{"@value":"Predicting climate effects on Pacific sardine"}],"description":[{"type":"abstract","notation":[{"@value":"<jats:p>For many marine species and habitats, climate change and overfishing present a double threat. To manage marine resources effectively, it is necessary to adapt management to changes in the physical environment. Simple relationships between environmental conditions and fish abundance have long been used in both fisheries and fishery management. In many cases, however, physical, biological, and human variables feed back on each other. For these systems, associations between variables can change as the system evolves in time. This can obscure relationships between population dynamics and environmental variability, undermining our ability to forecast changes in populations tied to physical processes. Here we present a methodology for identifying physical forcing variables based on nonlinear forecasting and show how the method provides a predictive understanding of the influence of physical forcing on Pacific sardine.</jats:p>"}]}],"creator":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265799","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Ethan R. Deyle"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093;"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265800","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Michael Fogarty"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, MA 02543;"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265797","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Chih-hao Hsieh"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Institute of Oceanography and Institute of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan;"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265792","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Les Kaufman"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Department of Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215;"},{"@value":"Conservation International, Arlington, VA 22202; and"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265794","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Alec D. MacCall"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"National Marine Fisheries Service, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA 95060"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265793","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Stephan B. Munch"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"National Marine Fisheries Service, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA 95060"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265796","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Charles T. Perretti"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093;"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265798","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Hao Ye"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093;"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380576137907265795","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"George Sugihara"}],"jpcoar:affiliationName":[{"@value":"Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093;"}]}],"publication":{"publicationIdentifier":[{"@type":"PISSN","@value":"00278424"},{"@type":"EISSN","@value":"10916490"}],"prism:publicationName":[{"@value":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"}],"dc:publisher":[{"@value":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences"}],"prism:publicationDate":"2013-03-27","prism:volume":"110","prism:number":"16","prism:startingPage":"6430","prism:endingPage":"6435"},"reviewed":"false","url":[{"@id":"https://pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.1215506110"}],"createdAt":"2013-03-28","modifiedAt":"2022-04-13","relatedProduct":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1050568617144806912","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"A Visual Analytics Approach for Ecosystem Dynamics based on Empirical Dynamic Modeling"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1050577354308989184","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Computational capability of ecological dynamics"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1050845763138040576","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Empirical dynamic modeling for beginners"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1050856815750258560","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@language":"en","@value":"Contrasting life-history responses to climate variability in eastern and western North Pacific sardine populations"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360002216124766080","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Demonstration of a fully-coupled end-to-end model for small pelagic fish using sardine and anchovy in the California Current"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360009142513484928","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Small pelagic fish in the new millennium: A bottom-up view of global research effort"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360017279839019136","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Toward Regional Marine Ecological Forecasting Using Global Climate Model Predictions From Subseasonal to Decadal Timescales: Bottlenecks and Recommendations"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360021390559548928","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Dryland sensitivity to climate change and variability using nonlinear dynamics"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360022307166376320","@type":"Article","resourceType":"preprint","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"An equation-free method reveals the ecological interaction networks within complex microbial ecosystems"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360283691776343424","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Fluctuating interaction network and time-varying stability of a natural fish community"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360285706436842496","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Data-based prediction and causality inference of nonlinear dynamics"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360290617861859200","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Are networks of trophic interactions sufficient for understanding the dynamics of multi‐trophic communities? 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