{"@context":{"@vocab":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/schema/1.0/","rdfs":"http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#","dc":"http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/","dcterms":"http://purl.org/dc/terms/","foaf":"http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/","prism":"http://prismstandard.org/namespaces/basic/2.0/","cinii":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ns/1.0/","datacite":"https://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-4/","ndl":"http://ndl.go.jp/dcndl/terms/","jpcoar":"https://github.com/JPCOAR/schema/blob/master/2.0/"},"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363388844450752512.json","@type":"Article","productIdentifier":[{"identifier":{"@type":"DOI","@value":"10.1029/1999gb001256"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1029%2F1999GB001256"}},{"identifier":{"@type":"URI","@value":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/1999GB001256"}}],"dc:title":[{"@value":"Potential impact of climate change on marine export production"}],"description":[{"type":"abstract","notation":[{"@value":"<jats:p>Future climate change will affect marine productivity, as well as other many components of Earth system. We have investigated the response of marine productivity to global warming with two different ocean biogeochemical schemes and two different atmosphere‐ocean coupled general circulation models (GCM). Both coupled GCMs were used without flux correction to simulate climate response to increased greenhouse gases (+1% CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub>/yr for 80 years). At 2×CO<jats:sub>2</jats:sub>, increased stratification leads to both reduced nutrient supply and increased light efficiency. Both effects drive a reduction in marine export production (−6%), although regionally changes can be both negative and positive (from −15% zonal average in the tropics to +10% in the Southern Ocean). Both coupled models and both biogeochemical schemes simulate a poleward shift of marine production due mainly to a longer growing season at high latitudes. At low latitudes, the effect of reduced upwelling prevails. The resulting reduction in marine productivity, and other marine resources, could become detectable in the near future, if appropriate long‐term observing systems are implemented.</jats:p>"}]}],"creator":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752516","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Laurent Bopp"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752512","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Patrick Monfray"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752518","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Olivier Aumont"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1380016867202009856","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Jean‐Louis Dufresne"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752515","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Hervé Le Treut"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752514","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Gurvan Madec"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752517","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"Laurent Terray"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1383388844450752519","@type":"Researcher","foaf:name":[{"@value":"James C. Orr"}]}],"publication":{"publicationIdentifier":[{"@type":"PISSN","@value":"08866236"},{"@type":"EISSN","@value":"19449224"}],"prism:publicationName":[{"@value":"Global Biogeochemical Cycles"}],"dc:publisher":[{"@value":"American Geophysical Union (AGU)"}],"prism:publicationDate":"2001-03","prism:volume":"15","prism:number":"1","prism:startingPage":"81","prism:endingPage":"99"},"reviewed":"false","dc:rights":["http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor"],"url":[{"@id":"https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1029%2F1999GB001256"},{"@id":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/1999GB001256"}],"createdAt":"2004-02-04","modifiedAt":"2023-09-22","relatedProduct":[{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360004240191795840","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Drivers and uncertainties of future global marine primary production in marine ecosystem models"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360567181335533568","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Comparison of carbon cycle between the western Pacific subarctic and subtropical time-series stations: highlights of the K2S1 project"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360846642345521024","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Will Invertebrates Require Increasingly Carbon-Rich Food in a Warming World?"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1360848654735781888","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Long‐term variability of surface nutrient concentrations in the North Pacific"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1363388843780691584","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1523669554726858880","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"CMIP5 model analysis of future changes in ocean net primary production focusing on differences among individual oceans and models"}]},{"@id":"https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/2050307417119877760","@type":"Article","resourceType":"学術雑誌論文(journal article)","relationType":["isReferencedBy"],"jpcoar:relatedTitle":[{"@value":"Ocean carbon pump decomposition and its application to CMIP5 earth system model simulations"}]}],"dataSourceIdentifier":[{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1029/1999gb001256"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.5194/bgd-12-3731-2015_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1186/s40645-020-00338-y_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1086/694122_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1007/s10872-017-0423-3_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.5194/bg-12-6955-2015_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1002/2016gl068097_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"},{"@type":"CROSSREF","@value":"10.1007/s10872-019-00513-w_references_DOI_aF4Bw9lQQD92AXWY4nRdQ7qOayZ"}]}