Divergent data-driven estimates of global soil respiration

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<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>The release of carbon dioxide from the soil to the atmosphere, known as soil respiration, is the second largest terrestrial carbon flux after photosynthesis, but the convergence of the data-driven estimates is unclear. Here we collate all historical data-driven estimates of global soil respiration to analyze convergence and uncertainty in the estimates. Despite the development of a dataset and advanced scaling techniques in the last two decades, we find that inter-model variability has increased. Reducing inter-model variability of global soil respiration is not an easy task, but when the puzzle pieces of the carbon cycle fit together perfectly, climate change prediction will be more reliable.</jats:p>

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