トルコの対中接近に関する一考察─「ソフト・バランシング」と「バンドワゴニング」の視点から─

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  • Turkey’s Soft Balancing Strategies against the United States:The Case of Turkey’s Approach to China since 2009

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The aim of this study is to explore why Turkey and China have improved their relationship since 2009. In particular, this paper examines the participation of Chinese fighters in Turkey’s “Anatolian Eagle” exercise held in September and October 2010 and the obtaining of the right to negotiate the order for Turkey’s missile defense system by China Precision Machinery Import and Export Corp(CPMIEC) in September 2013. For its theoretical framework, this study adopts “soft balancing” and “bandwagoning”, which are based on realist ideas. Soft balancing is not a policy that creates alignments against the United States per se. Soft balancing is a more indirect and multidimensional policy like holding highlevel meetings against US, using institutions to control US activities, denying territorial use, using economic strength to tame US policies, and acquiring legitimacy from other countries. According to Wolfers, bandwagoning is a strategy wherein “some weak countries seek safety by getting on the bandwagon of an ascending power”. This paper shows that Turkey’s approach to China is typical soft balancing behaviors against the United States and its allies.

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