プロジェクトのスケジュール・ネットワークの遅延リスク耐性の評価について

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  • Evaluation of Delay Risk Tolerance of Project Schedule Network

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In the schedule management of large-scale and complicated projects, the problem of uncertainty due to required time fluctuation is remarkable, and the location of the longest work path (critical path) that determines the whole period of the project changes irregularly. Therefore, even with a margin of non-critical activity that need not be managed in the conventional project, it is necessary to manage it in recent projects. In this research, when the project is represented by the schedule network of Activity, we propose a method to evaluate the tolerance of the project to the delay risk of the whole project. In this paper, we propose a method to use the number of delay patterns of Activity level that does not change the duration of the whole project as an indicator of delay risk tolerance. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the proposed method was experimentally verified. As a result, the validity of the proposed method was confirmed.

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