Conflict on Water Resources Development between Multiple Countries in the Nile River Basin
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- ナイル川流域における多国間水資源開発コンフリクトに関する研究
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Abstract
The aim of this paper is to propose hybrid of conflict analysis and hydrological model. The method is applied to the Nile River basin, utilizing MRI-AGCM and CMIP3 as boundary conditions, land surface model (SiBUC), and distributed runoff model (Hydro-BEAM) based on scenarios which depend on irrigated area. It is reasonable to consider graded options in order to express events among qualitative preference orders within feasible events and a method is proposed to operate graded options. The method to visualize plural equilibrium events which calculated by conflict analysis is proposed. Results of this method would describe that it is necessary for adaptation on 20 years drought years in the case that all basin countries develop 40 % of remained potential field for irrigated area. It is indispensable to feed back to the set of options and preference orders by decision makers.
Journal
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- Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. B
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Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. B 55 (B), 579-591, 2012-09-30
京都大学防災研究所
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1050845760672602496
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- NII Book ID
- AN00027784
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- ISSN
- 0386412X
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- HANDLE
- 2433/161817
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Article Type
- departmental bulletin paper
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- Data Source
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- IRDB