中国のエネルギー需要の成長と二酸化炭素排出量の増加

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  • Energy Demand Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emission in China
  • チュウゴク ノ エネルギー ジュヨウ ノ セイチョウ ト ニサンカ タンソ ハイシュツリョウ ノ ゾウカ

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China is currently the second largest energy consumption country and also the second largest emitter of carbon dioxide in the world. China's energy consumption growth rates are more than 10% in 2003 and 2004. But almost no research institutes and researchers could forecast these high growth rates before 2003. In this paper we will analyze the sauces of energy consumption growth by using the latest IEA energy balance tables and show that the rapid growth of cement and steel productions are the major factors. We will also forecast the future energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions of China and show that China's carbon dioxide emissions will occupy almost half of the world emissions in 2030 if the current situation continues in the future.

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