Estimation of a possible maximum flood event in the Tone River basin, Japan caused by a tropical cyclone

  • Hirohiko Ishikawa
    Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University Kyoto Japan
  • Yuichiro Oku
    Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University Kyoto Japan
  • Sunmin Kim
    Graduate School of Engineering Kyoto University Kyoto Japan
  • Tetsuya Takemi
    Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University Kyoto Japan
  • Jun Yoshino
    Graduate School of Engineering Gifu University Gifu Japan

書誌事項

公開日
2013-05-20
資源種別
journal article
権利情報
  • http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
DOI
  • 10.1002/hyp.9830
公開者
Wiley

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説明

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>The damage to society caused by tropical cyclones depends largely on the storm track relative to geography. A procedure is proposed to generate different typhoon tracks deviating from the original track of a given reference case. In this procedure, the position of a typhoon is artificially shifted at a certain time before landing in a physically consistent way by applying potential vorticity inversion methodology. After shifting the typhoon position, the subsequent progress is again simulated by a mesoscale weather model. The procedure is applied to a strong typhoon that emerged in a global warming experiment using an atmospheric general circulation model. Various realizations of typhoon landfall cases are generated. Using the output of a suite of realization of different tracks, the worst case scenario is discussed in terms of the river discharge in the Tone River basin, Japan. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.</jats:p>

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