Communicating the deadly consequences of global warming for human heat stress

  • Tom K. R. Matthews
    School of Natural Sciences and Psychology, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool L3 3AF, Merseyside, United Kingdom;
  • Robert L. Wilby
    Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough LE11 3TU, Leicestershire, United Kingdom;
  • Conor Murphy
    Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Kildare, Ireland

説明

<jats:title>Significance</jats:title> <jats:p>Extremely hot weather can have deadly human consequences. As the climate warms, the frequency and intensity of such conditions are expected to increase—among the most certain negative impacts expected under global warming. Concerns about dangerous climate change have encouraged the international community to commit to limiting global temperature changes to below 2 °C above preindustrial. Although lauded as a great achievement to avoid dangerous climate change, we find that, even if such aspirations are realized, large increases in the frequency of deadly heat should be expected, with more than 350 million more megacity inhabitants afflicted by midcentury. Such conclusions underline the critical role for ambitious adaptation alongside these climate change mitigation targets.</jats:p>

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