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- Christian Dippel
- Ivey Business School, UWO, Canada
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- Robert Gold
- IfW—Kiel Institute for the World Economy & CESifo, Germany
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- Stephan Heblich
- University of Toronto, Canada, CESifo, IZA, Germany
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- Rodrigo Pinto
- University of California, Los Angeles, CCPR & NBER, USA
抄録
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>We investigate economic causes of the rising support of populist parties in industrialised countries. Looking at Germany, we find that exposure to imports from low-wage countries increases the support for nationalist parties between 1987–2009, while increasing exports have the opposite effect. The net effect translates into increasing support of the right-populist Alternative for Germany party after its emergence in 2013. Individual data from the German Socio-Economic Panel reveal that low-skilled manufacturing workers’ political preferences are most responsive to trade exposure. Using a novel approach to causal mediation analysis, we identify trade-induced labour market adjustments as an economic mechanism causing the voting response to international trade.</jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- The Economic Journal
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The Economic Journal 132 (641), 199-217, 2021-05-12
Oxford University Press (OUP)