The Burden of Mortality Attributable to Diabetes

  • Gojka Roglic
    Department of Chronic Diseases and Health Promotion, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
  • Nigel Unwin
    Department of Chronic Diseases and Health Promotion, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
  • Peter H. Bennett
    National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, Arizona
  • Colin Mathers
    Measurement and Health Information, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
  • Jaakko Tuomilehto
    Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland
  • Satyajit Nag
    Diabetes Care Centre, The James Cook University Hospital, Middlesborough, U.K.
  • Vincent Connolly
    Diabetes Care Centre, The James Cook University Hospital, Middlesborough, U.K.
  • Hilary King
    Department of Chronic Diseases and Health Promotion, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

説明

<jats:p>OBJECTIVE—To estimate the global number of excess deaths due to diabetes in the year 2000.</jats:p> <jats:p>RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—We used a computerized generic formal disease model (DisMod II), used by the World Health Organization to assess disease burden through modeling the relationships between incidence, prevalence, and disease-specific mortality. Baseline input data included population structure, age- and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence, and available published estimates of relative risk of death for people with diabetes compared with people without diabetes. The results were validated with population-based observations and independent estimates of relative risk of death.</jats:p> <jats:p>RESULTS—The excess global mortality attributable to diabetes in the year 2000 was estimated to be 2.9 million deaths, equivalent to 5.2% of all deaths. Excess mortality attributable to diabetes accounted for 2–3% of deaths in poorest countries and over 8% in the U.S., Canada, and the Middle East. In people 35–64 years old, 6–27% of deaths were attributable to diabetes.</jats:p> <jats:p>CONCLUSIONS—These are the first global estimates of mortality attributable to diabetes. Globally, diabetes is likely to be the fifth leading cause of death.</jats:p>

収録刊行物

  • Diabetes Care

    Diabetes Care 28 (9), 2130-2135, 2005-09-01

    American Diabetes Association

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