Climate change vulnerability assessment of species

  • Wendy B. Foden
    Global Change Biology Group, Department of Botany and Zoology, Faculty of Science Stellenbosch University Matieland South Africa
  • Bruce E. Young
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • H. Resit Akçakaya
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • Raquel A. Garcia
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • Ary A. Hoffmann
    School of BioSciences University of Melbourne Melbourne Victoria Australia
  • Bruce A. Stein
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • Chris D. Thomas
    Department of Biology University of York York, YO10 5DD, UK
  • Christopher J. Wheatley
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • David Bickford
    Department of Biology University of La Verne La Verne California
  • Jamie A. Carr
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • David G. Hole
    Moore Center for Science Conservation International Arlington Virginia
  • Tara G. Martin
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • Michela Pacifici
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • James W. Pearce‐Higgins
    British Trust for Ornithology Thetford UK
  • Philip J. Platts
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland
  • Piero Visconti
    Institute of Zoology of the Zoological Society of London London UK
  • James E. M. Watson
    School of Earth and Environmental Sciences University of Queensland Brisbane Queensland Australia
  • Brian Huntley
    Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, International Union for Conservation of Nature Gland Switzerland

抄録

<jats:p>Assessing species' vulnerability to climate change is a prerequisite for developing effective strategies to conserve them. The last three decades have seen exponential growth in the number of studies evaluating how, how much, why, when, and where species will be impacted by climate change. We provide an overview of the rapidly developing field of climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) and describe key concepts, terms, steps and considerations. We stress the importance of identifying the full range of pressures, impacts and their associated mechanisms that species face and using this as a basis for selecting the appropriate assessment approaches for quantifying vulnerability. We outline four CCVA assessment approaches, namely trait‐based, correlative, mechanistic and combined approaches and discuss their use. Since any assessment can deliver unreliable or even misleading results when incorrect data and parameters are applied, we discuss finding, selecting, and applying input data and provide examples of open‐access resources. Because rare, small‐range, and declining‐range species are often of particular conservation concern while also posing significant challenges for CCVA, we describe alternative ways to assess them. We also describe how CCVAs can be used to inform IUCN Red List assessments of extinction risk. Finally, we suggest future directions in this field and propose areas where research efforts may be particularly valuable.</jats:p><jats:p>This article is categorized under: <jats:list list-type="simple"> <jats:list-item><jats:p>Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Extinction Risk</jats:p></jats:list-item> </jats:list> </jats:p>

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