Very Strong Atmospheric Methane Growth in the 4 Years 2014–2017: Implications for the Paris Agreement
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- E. G. Nisbet
- Department of Earth Sciences Royal Holloway, University of London Egham Surrey UK
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- M. R. Manning
- Climate Change Research Institute, School of Geography Environment and Earth Sciences Victoria University of Wellington Wellington New Zealand
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- E. J. Dlugokencky
- Earth System Research Laboratory, Global Monitoring Division US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Boulder CO USA
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- R. E. Fisher
- Department of Earth Sciences Royal Holloway, University of London Egham Surrey UK
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- D. Lowry
- Department of Earth Sciences Royal Holloway, University of London Egham Surrey UK
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- S. E. Michel
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research University of Colorado Boulder CO USA
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- C. Lund Myhre
- NILU‐Norwegian Institute for Air Research Kjeller Norway
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- S. M. Platt
- NILU‐Norwegian Institute for Air Research Kjeller Norway
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- G. Allen
- Centre for Atmospheric Science University of Manchester Manchester UK
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- P. Bousquet
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif‐sur‐Yvette Cedex France
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- R. Brownlow
- Energy and Sustainability Research Institute University of Groningen Groningen Netherlands
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- M. Cain
- Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment University of Oxford Oxford UK
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- J. L. France
- Department of Earth Sciences Royal Holloway, University of London Egham Surrey UK
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- O. Hermansen
- NILU‐Norwegian Institute for Air Research Kjeller Norway
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- R. Hossaini
- Lancaster Environment Centre Lancaster University Lancaster UK
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- A. E. Jones
- British Antarctic Survey Cambridge Cambs. UK
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- I. Levin
- Institut für Umweltphysik Heidelberg University Heidelberg Germany
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- A. C. Manning
- Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia Norwich Norfolk UK
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- G. Myhre
- CICERO Centre for International Climate Research Oslo Norway
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- J. A. Pyle
- National Centre for Atmospheric Science, and Department of Chemistry University of Cambridge Cambridge UK
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- B. H. Vaughn
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research University of Colorado Boulder CO USA
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- N. J. Warwick
- National Centre for Atmospheric Science, and Department of Chemistry University of Cambridge Cambridge UK
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- J. W. C. White
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research University of Colorado Boulder CO USA
書誌事項
- 公開日
- 2019-03
- 権利情報
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- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- DOI
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- 10.1029/2018gb006009
- 公開者
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
この論文をさがす
説明
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p> Atmospheric methane grew very rapidly in 2014 (12.7 ± 0.5 ppb/year), 2015 (10.1 ± 0.7 ppb/year), 2016 (7.0 ± 0.7 ppb/year), and 2017 (7.7 ± 0.7 ppb/year), at rates not observed since the 1980s. The increase in the methane burden began in 2007, with the mean global mole fraction in remote surface background air rising from about 1,775 ppb in 2006 to 1,850 ppb in 2017. Simultaneously the <jats:sup>13</jats:sup> C/ <jats:sup>12</jats:sup> C isotopic ratio (expressed as δ <jats:sup>13</jats:sup> C <jats:sub>CH4</jats:sub> ) has shifted, now trending negative for more than a decade. The causes of methane's recent mole fraction increase are therefore either a change in the relative proportions (and totals) of emissions from biogenic and thermogenic and pyrogenic sources, especially in the tropics and subtropics, or a decline in the atmospheric sink of methane, or both. Unfortunately, with limited measurement data sets, it is not currently possible to be more definitive. The climate warming impact of the observed methane increase over the past decade, if continued at >5 ppb/year in the coming decades, is sufficient to challenge the Paris Agreement, which requires sharp cuts in the atmospheric methane burden. However, anthropogenic methane emissions are relatively very large and thus offer attractive targets for rapid reduction, which are essential if the Paris Agreement aims are to be attained. </jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- Global Biogeochemical Cycles
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Global Biogeochemical Cycles 33 (3), 318-342, 2019-03
American Geophysical Union (AGU)