Mapping human pressures on biodiversity across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes

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  • Diana E. Bowler
    Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre Frankfurt am Main Germany
  • Anne D. Bjorkman
    Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden
  • Maria Dornelas
    Centre for Biological Diversity University of St Andrews St Andrews UK
  • Isla H. Myers‐Smith
    School of GeoSciences University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
  • Laetitia M. Navarro
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Aidin Niamir
    Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre Frankfurt am Main Germany
  • Sarah R. Supp
    Data Analytics Program Denison University Granville OH USA
  • Conor Waldock
    Ocean and Earth Science National Oceanography Centre Southampton University of Southampton Southampton UK
  • Marten Winter
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Mark Vellend
    Université de Sherbrooke Sherbrooke QC Canada
  • Shane A. Blowes
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Katrin Böhning‐Gaese
    Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre Frankfurt am Main Germany
  • Helge Bruelheide
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Robin Elahi
    Hopkins Marine Station Stanford University Pacific Grove CA USA
  • Laura H. Antão
    Centre for Biological Diversity University of St Andrews St Andrews UK
  • Jes Hines
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Forest Isbell
    Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior University of Minnesota Twin Cities Saint Paul MN USA
  • Holly P. Jones
    Department of Biological Sciences and Institute for the Study of the Environment, Sustainability, and Energy Northern Illinois University DeKalb IL USA
  • Anne E. Magurran
    Centre for Biological Diversity University of St Andrews St Andrews UK
  • Juliano Sarmento Cabral
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Leipzig Germany
  • Amanda E. Bates
    Ocean and Earth Science National Oceanography Centre Southampton University of Southampton Southampton UK

説明

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p> <jats:list> <jats:list-item><jats:p>Climate change and other anthropogenic drivers of biodiversity change are unequally distributed across the world. Overlap in the distributions of different drivers have important implications for biodiversity change attribution and the potential for interactive effects. However, the spatial relationships among different drivers and whether they differ between the terrestrial and marine realm has yet to be examined.</jats:p></jats:list-item> <jats:list-item><jats:p>We compiled global gridded datasets on climate change, land‐use, resource exploitation, pollution, alien species potential and human population density. We used multivariate statistics to examine the spatial relationships among the drivers and to characterize the typical combinations of drivers experienced by different regions of the world.</jats:p></jats:list-item> <jats:list-item><jats:p>We found stronger positive correlations among drivers in the terrestrial than in the marine realm, leading to areas with high intensities of multiple drivers on land. Climate change tended to be negatively correlated with other drivers in the terrestrial realm (e.g. in the tundra and boreal forest with high climate change but low human use and pollution), whereas the opposite was true in the marine realm (e.g. in the Indo‐Pacific with high climate change and high fishing).</jats:p></jats:list-item> <jats:list-item><jats:p>We show that different regions of the world can be defined by Anthropogenic Threat Complexes (ATCs), distinguished by different sets of drivers with varying intensities. We identify 11 ATCs that can be used to test hypotheses about patterns of biodiversity and ecosystem change, especially about the joint effects of multiple drivers.</jats:p></jats:list-item> <jats:list-item><jats:p>Our global analysis highlights the broad conservation priorities needed to mitigate the impacts of anthropogenic change, with different priorities emerging on land and in the ocean, and in different parts of the world.</jats:p></jats:list-item> </jats:list> </jats:p>

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