Burden of heart failure and underlying causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017

  • Nicola Luigi Bragazzi
    Department of General Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 87 Xiangya Road, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China
  • Wen Zhong
    Department of General Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 87 Xiangya Road, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China
  • Jingxian Shu
    Department of Pharmacy, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, 52 Mei Hua East Road, Zhuhai, Guangdong 519000, China
  • Arsalan Abu Much
    Leviev Heart Center, Sheba Medical Center, Tel HaShomer, Israel
  • Dor Lotan
    Leviev Heart Center, Sheba Medical Center, Tel HaShomer, Israel
  • Avishay Grupper
    Leviev Heart Center, Sheba Medical Center, Tel HaShomer, Israel
  • Arwa Younis
    Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, University of Rochester Medical Center, 265 Crittenden Boulevard, Rochester, NY 14620, USA
  • Haijiang Dai
    Centre for Disease Modelling, York University, 4700 Keele St, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada

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<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Aims</jats:title> <jats:p>To provide the first systematic analysis of the burden and underlying causes of heart failure (HF) in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Methods and results</jats:title> <jats:p>We collected detailed information on prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), and underlying causes of HF from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017. Numbers and age-standardized rates of HF prevalence and YLDs were compared by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and location. The proportions of HF age-standardized prevalence rates due to 23 underlying causes were also presented. Globally, the age-standardized prevalence and YLD rates of HF in 2017 were 831.0 and 128.2 per 100 000 people, a decrease of −7.2% and −0.9% from 1990, respectively. Nevertheless, the absolute numbers of HF prevalent cases and YLDs have increased by 91.9% and 106.0% from 1990, respectively. There is significant geographic and socio-demographic variation in the levels and trends of HF burden from 1990 to 2017. Among all causes of HF, ischaemic heart disease accounted for the highest proportion (26.5%) of age-standardized prevalence rate of HF in 2017, followed by hypertensive heart disease (26.2%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (23.4%).</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title> <jats:p>HF remains a serious public health problem worldwide, with increasing age-standardized prevalence and YLD rates in countries with relatively low SDI. More geo-specific strategies aimed at preventing underlying causes and improving medical care for HF are warranted to reduce the future burden of this condition.</jats:p> </jats:sec>

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