Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

  • Arnstein Aassve
    Carlo F. Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, 20136 Milan, Italy;
  • Nicolò Cavalli
    Department of Social and Political Sciences, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, 20136 Milan, Italy;
  • Letizia Mencarini
    Carlo F. Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, 20136 Milan, Italy;
  • Samuel Plach
    Carlo F. Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy, Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, 20136 Milan, Italy;
  • Seth Sanders
    Department of Economics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.

書誌事項

公開日
2021-08-30
権利情報
  • https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
DOI
  • 10.1073/pnas.2105709118
公開者
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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説明

<jats:p>Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.</jats:p>

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