Flare forecasting at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre

DOI Web Site Web Site 被引用文献5件

書誌事項

公開日
2017-04
権利情報
  • http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
DOI
  • 10.1002/2016sw001579
公開者
American Geophysical Union (AGU)

この論文をさがす

説明

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre produces 24/7/365 space weather guidance, alerts, and forecasts to a wide range of government and commercial end‐users across the United Kingdom. Solar flare forecasts are one of its products, which are issued multiple times a day in two forms: forecasts for each active region on the solar disk over the next 24 h and full‐disk forecasts for the next 4 days. Here the forecasting process is described in detail, as well as first verification of archived forecasts using methods commonly used in operational weather prediction. Real‐time verification available for operational flare forecasting use is also described. The influence of human forecasters is highlighted, with human‐edited forecasts outperforming original model results and forecasting skill decreasing over longer forecast lead times.</jats:p>

収録刊行物

  • Space Weather

    Space Weather 15 (4), 577-588, 2017-04

    American Geophysical Union (AGU)

被引用文献 (5)*注記

もっと見る

問題の指摘

ページトップへ