The Potential for Earthquake Early Warning in Southern California

  • Richard M. Allen
    Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
  • Hiroo Kanamori
    Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA.

書誌事項

公開日
2003-05-02
DOI
  • 10.1126/science.1080912
公開者
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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説明

<jats:p>Earthquake mitigation efforts in the United States currently use long-term probabilistic hazard assessments and rapid post-earthquake notification to reduce the potential damage of earthquakes. Here we present the seismological design for and demonstrate the feasibility of a short-term hazard warning system. Using data from past earthquakes, we show that our Earthquake Alarm System (ElarmS) could, with current TriNet instrumentation, issue a warning a few to tens of seconds ahead of damaging ground motion. The system uses the frequency content of the P-wave arrival to determine earthquake magnitude, an approach that allows magnitude determination before any damaging ground motion occurs.</jats:p>

収録刊行物

  • Science

    Science 300 (5620), 786-789, 2003-05-02

    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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