Assessing Beijing's PM <sub>2.5</sub> pollution: severity, weather impact, APEC and winter heating
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- Xuan Liang
- Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
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- Tao Zou
- Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
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- Bin Guo
- School of Economics, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, People's Republic of China
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- Shuo Li
- Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
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- Haozhe Zhang
- Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA
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- Shuyi Zhang
- Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
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- Hui Huang
- Center for Statistical Science, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
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- Song Xi Chen
- Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, People's Republic of China
抄録
<jats:p> By learning the PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> readings and meteorological records from 2010–2015, the severity of PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> pollution in Beijing is quantified with a set of statistical measures. As PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> concentration is highly influenced by meteorological conditions, we propose a statistical approach to adjust PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> concentration with respect to meteorological conditions, which can be used to monitor PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> pollution in a location. The adjusted monthly averages and percentiles are employed to test if the PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> levels in Beijing have been lowered since China's State Council set up a pollution reduction target. The results of the testing reveal significant increases, rather than decreases, in the PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> concentrations in the years 2013 and 2014 as compared with those in year 2012. We conduct analyses on two quasi-experiments—the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in November 2014 and the annual winter heating—to gain insight into the impacts of emissions on PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> . The analyses lead to a conclusion that a fundamental shift from mainly coal-based energy consumption to much greener alternatives in Beijing and the surrounding North China Plain is the key to solving the PM <jats:sub>2.5</jats:sub> problem in Beijing. </jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
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Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 471 (2182), 20150257-, 2015-10
The Royal Society