Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

  • Hans Heesterbeek
    Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
  • Roy M. Anderson
    School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK.
  • Viggo Andreasen
    Roskilde University, Roskilde, Denmark.
  • Shweta Bansal
    Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
  • Daniela De Angelis
    MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, UK.
  • Chris Dye
    WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
  • Ken T. D. Eames
    Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
  • W. John Edmunds
    Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
  • Simon D. W. Frost
    University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
  • Sebastian Funk
    Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
  • T. Deirdre Hollingsworth
    School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, UK.
  • Thomas House
    Warwick Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
  • Valerie Isham
    Department of Statistical Science, University College London, London, UK.
  • Petra Klepac
    University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
  • Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
  • James O. Lloyd-Smith
    Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
  • C. Jessica E. Metcalf
    Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK, and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
  • Denis Mollison
    Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK.
  • Lorenzo Pellis
    Warwick Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
  • Juliet R. C. Pulliam
    Department of Biology–Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
  • Mick G. Roberts
    Institute of Natural and Mathematical Sciences, Massey University, Auckland, New Zealand.
  • Cecile Viboud
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA.

書誌事項

公開日
2015-03-13
権利情報
  • http://www.sciencemag.org/about/science-licenses-journal-article-reuse
DOI
  • 10.1126/science.aaa4339
公開者
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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説明

<jats:title>Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases</jats:title> <jats:p> The spread of infectious diseases can be unpredictable. With the emergence of antibiotic resistance and worrying new viruses, and with ambitious plans for global eradication of polio and the elimination of malaria, the stakes have never been higher. Anticipation and measurement of the multiple factors involved in infectious disease can be greatly assisted by mathematical methods. In particular, modeling techniques can help to compensate for imperfect knowledge, gathered from large populations and under difficult prevailing circumstances. Heesterbeek <jats:italic>et al.</jats:italic> review the development of mathematical models used in epidemiology and how these can be harnessed to develop successful control strategies and inform public health policy. </jats:p> <jats:p> <jats:italic>Science</jats:italic> , this issue <jats:related-article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="doi" related-article-type="in-this-issue" xlink:href="10.1126/science.aaa4339">10.1126/science.aaa4339</jats:related-article> </jats:p>

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  • Science

    Science 347 (6227), aaa4339-, 2015-03-13

    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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