Characterizing Crustal Earthquake Slip Models for the Prediction of Strong Ground Motion

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INTRODUCTION A large amount of work has been done in recent years to estimate the distribution of slip on the fault surface during earthquakes. Generally, these slip models are derived from longer period ground motions: strong-motion velocity and displacement, and teleseismic velocity seismograms. At these longer periods, ground motions are predominantly deterministic and their waveforms can in general be accurately modeled using simple descriptions of the source and crustal structure. The opposite situation exists for the prediction of high-frequency strong ground motions. Ground motions at high frequencies are predominantly stochastic, and their waveforms in general cannot be accurately modeled using simple descriptions of the source and crustal structure. However, preliminary evidence ( e.g. , Hartzell et al. , 1996; Kamae and Irikura, 1998; Somerville, 1993; Somerville et al ., 1996; Wald et al. , 1988) suggests that variable slip models derived from longer-period ground-motion recordings are relevant for the prediction of higher-frequency ground motions. For...

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