Joint impact of North and South Pacific extratropical atmospheric variability on the onset of ENSO events

DOI Web Site Web Site 被引用文献1件
  • Ruiqiang Ding
    State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China
  • Jianping Li
    College of Global Change and Earth System Sciences (GCESS) Beijing Normal University Beijing China
  • Yu‐heng Tseng
    Climate and Global Dynamics Division NCAR Boulder Colorado USA
  • Cheng Sun
    College of Global Change and Earth System Sciences (GCESS) Beijing Normal University Beijing China
  • Fei Xie
    College of Global Change and Earth System Sciences (GCESS) Beijing Normal University Beijing China

書誌事項

公開日
2017-01-14
権利情報
  • http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor
DOI
  • 10.1002/2016jd025502
公開者
American Geophysical Union (AGU)

この論文をさがす

説明

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Previous studies have indicated that boreal winter subtropical and extratropical sea surface pressure (SLP) anomalies over both the North and South Pacific are significantly related to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state in the following boreal winter. Here we use observational data and model simulations to show that the ability of the boreal winter North Pacific SLP anomalies to initiate ENSO events a year later may strongly depend on the state of the simultaneous South Pacific SLP anomalies and vice versa. When the boreal winter North Pacific SLP anomalies are of the opposite sign to the simultaneous South Pacific anomalies, the correlation of the North or South Pacific anomalies with the following ENSO state becomes much weaker, and the strength of the ENSO events also tends to be weaker. One possible reason for this is that when the boreal winter North and South Pacific SLP anomalies have the opposite sign, the westerly anomalies over the western‐central equatorial Pacific during the following boreal summer are greatly reduced by the interference between the antecedent North and South Pacific SLP anomalies, thereby not favoring the development of ENSO events. Further analysis indicates that a combination of North and South Pacific precursor signals may serve to enhance the ENSO prediction skill.</jats:p>

収録刊行物

被引用文献 (1)*注記

もっと見る

問題の指摘

ページトップへ