Evolving epidemiology of poliovirus serotype 2 following withdrawal of the serotype 2 oral poliovirus vaccine
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- G. R. Macklin
- Centre of Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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- K. M. O’Reilly
- Centre of Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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- N. C. Grassly
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.
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- W. J. Edmunds
- Centre of Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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- O. Mach
- Polio Eradication, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
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- R. Santhana Gopala Krishnan
- Polio Eradication, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
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- A. Voorman
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
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- J. F. Vertefeuille
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA, USA.
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- J. Abdelwahab
- United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), New York, NY, USA.
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- N. Gumede
- Regional Office for Africa, World Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo.
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- A. Goel
- Polio Eradication, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
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- S. Sosler
- Gavi (the Vaccine Alliance), Geneva, Switzerland.
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- J. Sever
- Rotary International, Evanston, IL, USA.
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- A. S. Bandyopadhyay
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.
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- M. A. Pallansch
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA, USA.
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- R. Nandy
- United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), New York, NY, USA.
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- P. Mkanda
- Regional Office for Africa, World Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo.
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- O. M. Diop
- Polio Eradication, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
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- R. W. Sutter
- Polio Eradication, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
抄録
<jats:title>A public health catch-22</jats:title> <jats:p> In 2016, the serotype 2 component of the oral poliovirus vaccine given to children was withdrawn. This measure was taken to prevent vaccine-associated disease outbreaks caused by mutation in the live attenuated vaccine. Children around the world now have poor immunity to serotype 2 poliovirus because the inactivated vaccine is far less effective and a new oral vaccine is not yet ready. Using a statistical model, Macklin <jats:italic>et al.</jats:italic> discovered that most current outbreaks of polio in several countries across Asia and sub-Saharan Africa are likely associated with the serotype 2 vaccine strain (see the Perspective by Donlan and Petri). To block transmission when poliovirus outbreaks occur requires deployment of the only tool in the box: the existing live attenuated serotype 2 oral vaccine, which increases the risk of vaccine-derived disease. </jats:p> <jats:p> <jats:italic>Science</jats:italic> , this issue p. <jats:related-article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="doi" issue="6489" page="401" related-article-type="in-this-issue" vol="368" xlink:href="10.1126/science.aba1238">401</jats:related-article> ; see also p. <jats:related-article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="doi" issue="6489" page="362" related-article-type="in-this-issue" vol="368" xlink:href="10.1126/science.abb8588">362</jats:related-article> </jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- Science
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Science 368 (6489), 401-405, 2020-04-24
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)