イラクの情勢―イラクの富と権力の新たな行方―

So far, in Iraq, there are no adequate circumstances to promote business and reconstruction due to the lack of stability and legitimacy of represented governance.<br>United States won landslide victory and overthrew the Saddam's regime. However, it did not mean the victory created white campus on which United States could draw any picture they want. Domestically, it meant the followings;<br>• People were liberated but not achieve freedom, rather thrown into chaos.<br>• Depressed ethno-religious groups were relieved from the autocratic regime and reemerged as significant politico-social entities.<br>• Strong tribal groups tied with the regime were excluded, challenged and became unsta-bilizing elements.<br>Those negative effects had been enforced by miss-management of the occupying forces. As a result, the reconstruction could not have adequate circumstances. Security is the foremost problem. The situation seems worsen. Pattern of attack, intended target and used ammunition had changed and becoming more serious than before. In addition, international terror group are said to be involved. However, also, there are positive changes; recruiting former regime's intelligence persons, giving more authority to Iraqis in earlier time. So, the situation now is at the corner toward falling into bad spiral or cutting the spiral. <br>Financial contribution for the reconstruction cannot be seen optimistically. Amount of the contribution may not satisfy the needs. The further damage on infrastructure may require more cost. If the reconstruction process cannot achieve certain success by 2007, when the expressed international contribution will be ended and repayment of the debt will start, Iraq will financially face more serious problem. <br>Under this situation, Japanese private companies may have significant role. Especially, under the financial burden, Iraq may require investment in wider area than the area that they open for the foreign companies. Japanese companies may be late comer, but it is significant to have contact with Iraqi authority and government in early timing looking forward future relation.