Evolution of energy resources—Historical transition, current status and future prediction
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- Inoue Masazumi
- ex-JX Nippon Oil and Gas Exploration Corporation
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- Yoshino Hiroatsu
- JX Nippon Oil and Gas Exploration Corporation
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- Eguchi Takao
- JX Nippon Oil and Gas Exploration Corporation
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- Yamashina Okiyuki
- JX Nippon Oil and Gas Exploration Corporation
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- Sakuma Hironobu
- JX Nippon Oil and Gas Exploration Corporation
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 資源進化論―エネルギー資源の変遷・現状と未来予測―
- シゲン シンカロン : エネルギー シゲン ノ ヘンセン ・ ゲンジョウ ト ミライ ヨソク
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Abstract
<p>The endowment, resources, reserves and production capacity of oil are estimated by global oil generation, field size distribution, discovery process and decline curve analyses. The historical fluctuation of oil price is almost explained by the excess production capacity over actual consumption, which is verified by the vector autoregression analysis. These results combined with economics described by energy consumption lead to a construction of an endogenous dynamic model, which successfully replicates the historical cyclic fluctuation of production and price, and can be used to analyze the evolution of energy resources.</p>
Journal
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- Journal of the Japanese Association for Petroleum Technology
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Journal of the Japanese Association for Petroleum Technology 80 (1), 60-73, 2015
The Japanese Association for Petroleum Technology
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Keywords
Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390001204063441408
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- NII Article ID
- 130006746622
- 40020363231
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- NII Book ID
- AN00130976
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- ISSN
- 18814131
- 03709868
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- NDL BIB ID
- 026146659
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- NDL
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed