A GRBFN-EPSO-based Method for Predicting PV Generation Output
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- Takahashi Masato
- Department of Electronics and Bioinformatics, Meiji University
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- Mori Hiroyuki
- Department of Electronics and Bioinformatics, Meiji University
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- EPSOを用いたGRBFNによる太陽光発電出力予測
- EPSO オ モチイタ GRBFN ニ ヨル タイヨウコウ ハツデン シュツリョク ヨソク
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Abstract
In this paper, a new method is presented to predicting PV generation output. The method makes use of a hybrid intelligent system of EPSO (Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization) of meta heuristics and GRBFN (Generalized Radial Basis Function Network) of artificial neural network (ANN). GRBFN is an extension of RBFN in a sense that the center and the width of the radial basis functions are determined by the learning process although the conventional RBFN does not update them through the learning process. EPSO is used to evaluate better the weights between the hidden and the output layers because it is useful for solving nonlinear optimization problems from a standpoint of global optimization. In particular, EPSO has advantage to adjust the algorithm parameters with the evolutionary strategy to make the search process more diverse by the replication. In addition, DA (Deterministic Annealing) clustering that corresponds to a global clustering technique is employed to evaluate the initial solutions of the center and the width so that the performance of GRBFN is improved. Furthermore, the weight decay method is utilized at the learning processes to avoid the overfitting to learning data since the conventional methods are inclined to provide erroneous results due to overfitting to complicated time series data of PV generation output. The proposed method is successfully applied to real data of a PV system.
Journal
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- IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy
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IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy 133 (1), 72-78, 2013
The Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan
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Keywords
Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390001204602275840
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- NII Article ID
- 10031142378
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- NII Book ID
- AN10136334
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- ISSN
- 13488147
- 03854213
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- NDL BIB ID
- 024233413
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- NDL
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed