Effects of Labor Force Status and Occupation on Men's Marriag

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  • 就業状態や職種が男性の結婚に与える影響
  • シュウギョウ ジョウタイ ヤ ショクシュ ガ ダンセイ ノ ケッコン ニ アタエル エイキョウ

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In Japan, the fertility rate has been declining. This phenomenon is explained by the following factors. First, couples have been having fewer children; and second, the marriage rate has fallen. In this paper, we analyze the marriage rate of men. Recently, Japanese people have been marrying later, and moreover, some people remain single. The average age at which people first marry has risen in Japan. For men, this has risen by three years over the past fifty years, to 29.1 in 2002. The proportion of single men has risen dramatically. For men in their twenties, this proportion was 69.3% in 2000, double the 1950 rate. The proportion has also increased for men in their fifties; it was 12.57% in 2000.More than one in ten Japanese men are single. Marriage rates have not declined because fewer people want to marry. According to research on single men's desire for marriage, few said that they did not want to marry. The proportion of single men wanting to marry has remained steady. The purpose of this study is to explain why the marriage rate among men has declined while men's desire to marry has remained constant. Data on men and marriage from the 1986, 1991, and 1996 Surveys on Time Use and Leisure Activities were analyzed. These surveys were undertaken by the Japanese Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. We analyzed data on men who had finished school and were under 50 years of age. We estimated a probit model for men's marriage. The main finding of this study is that unemployed men are less likely to marry. Recently, unemployment has increased in Japan. One might conclude as a result that policies to address unemployment are needed. In contrast, the marriage rate is high for high-income men.

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