大地震時の市街地大火を想定した高齢者福祉施設における広域避難について

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  • 大佛 俊泰
    東京工業大学大学院情報理工学研究科　教授・博士(工学)
  • 鈴木 久美子
    研究当時　東京工業大学大学院情報理工学研究科　修士課程

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • WIDE-AREA EVACUATION OF ELDER CARE FACILITY USERS IN CASE OF LARGE URBAN FIRES FOLLOWING A MAJOR EARTHQUAKE
  • ダイジシンジ ノ シガイチ タイカ オ ソウテイ シタ コウレイシャ フクシ シセツ ニ オケル コウイキ ヒナン ニ ツイテ

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抄録

Senior users of elder care facilities are assumed not to evacuate to outside shelters, since the facilities are generally considered as evacuation centers. In case of a devastating earthquake, however, they might have to evacuate to outside shelters, since big fires are presumed to break out at the same time in different places. In this paper, we construct a simulation model, which describes evacuation behavior of senior users as well as urban fires following a major earthquake. We take into account that senior users with difficulties in walking need special support in evacuation process, and that the assistance of people around the facilities can reduce the human casualties. Using the proposed model, we quantitatively evaluate wide-area evacuation behavior of senior users, and demonstrate some significant factors affecting the availability of evacuation.

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