Studies on Acute Renal Failure II An Estimation of prognosis of patients with Acute Renal Failure

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  • Magara Eiichi
    The Second Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University School of Medicine Niigata, Japan

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  • 急性腎不全に関する研究第2報急性腎不全の予後について
  • キュウセイ ジンフゼン ニカンスルケンキュウ 2 キュウセイ ジンフゼン ノ

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The prognosis of the patients with acute renal failure was estimated by the statistical method called quantification using a digital computer. The clinical findings of 210 cases anticipated to be poor in prognosis were used for the calculation of weights. This method gives a patient the scores which are summations of the weight of each category, and estimates the prognosis by the distribution of the scores. When I forecast prognosis "lived or died" from the scores, maximal accurate forecasting was between 77.5 and 94.4 per cent. The most important factors, which were assumed to have an adverse influence on prognosis, were "coma", "etiolgy of acute renal failure" and "gastrointestinal bleeding".

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