A LONG-TERM PROJECTION OF A THERMAL ENVIRONMENT IN SUMMER OF THE 2070S

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  • IIZUKA Satoru
    Assoc. Prof., Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Dr. Eng.
  • KINBARA Kazuya
    Graduate Student, Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University
  • KUSAKA Hiroyuki
    Assoc. Prof., Center for Computational Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Dr. Sci.
  • HARA Masayuki
    Research Scientist, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, M. Sci.

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Other Title
  • 2070年代夏季温熱環境の長期トレンド予測
  • 2070ネンダイ カキ オンネツ カンキョウ ノ チョウキ トレンド ヨソク リョウイキ キショウ モデル WRF ニ ヨル ナゴヤ トシケン ノ オンネツ カンキョウ シミュレーション ソノ 2
  • Numerical study on thermal environment in the Nagoya metropolitan area by using WRF (Part 2)
  • 領域気象モデルWRFによる名古屋都市圏の温熱環境シミュレーション（その2）

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Abstract

A long-term projection of a thermal environment in summer of the 2070s in the Nagoya metropolitan area was carried out by using a regional atmospheric model, WRF. In the future projection, the pseudo-global warming method proposed by Kimura et al. (2007) was introduced to consider the effects of global warming as background data. In this study, (1) the temperature histogram, (2) the monthly averaged temperature, and (3) hourly and monthly precipitations obtained from the future projection were compared with those from observational and numerical results of the present status. Furthermore, the effects of microphysics models, which include water vapor, cloud, and precipitation processes, on the projected precipitation and temperature were investigated.

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