書誌事項
- タイトル別名
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- Prediction Model for Number of Waste Products Being Abandoned
- ハイキ ガ ソクシンサレル セイヒン ノ ハイシュツリョウ ヨソク チジョウ アナログ ホウソウ テイハ オ コウリョシタ カラー テレビ ハイシュツリョウ ヨソク
- —One Study on Color TVs Discarded after Analog Broadcasting was Terminated—
- ―地上アナログ放送停波を考慮したカラーテレビ排出量予測―
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説明
When replacement demand for a product is intensified by measures and policies etc., the lifetime distribution of that product will change, as compared to products that remain in general use. In this paper, a model has been proposed for predicting the total amount of discarded products. These are products in which lifetime distribution has been determined due to a combination of distributions, each independently influenced by measures and policies. This model was then applied in order to predict the number of televisions that would be discarded in the future in Japan, where analog broadcasting is set to be terminated from July 2011.<br>It was estimated that 47.6 million analog tuner TVs tuner could exist in July 2011 if there would be no termination of analog broadcasting. When the intensification of replacement, due to termination, was taken in to consideration, our model predicted that 34.6 million televisions would be discarded within 7 months around the time of termination of analog broadcasting if 70% of the analog tuner TV holders tended to use the product right up to termination. On the other hand, if the analog tuner TV holders would tend to replace analog tuner TVs before termination, the maximum number of TVs to be discarded per month would be three times as much as that of the current situation.
収録刊行物
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- 廃棄物学会論文誌
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廃棄物学会論文誌 18 (3), 194-204, 2007
一般社団法人 廃棄物資源循環学会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390001205297126016
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- NII論文ID
- 10018760860
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- NII書誌ID
- AN10414685
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- COI
- 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2sXnvVGgtbs%3D
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- ISSN
- 1883163X
- 18831648
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- NDL書誌ID
- 8766305
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
- NDL
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- 使用不可
