FUTURE PROJECTION OF ECONOMIC LOSS CAUSED BY TROPICAL CYCLONES AT GLOBAL SCALE

DOI Web Site 11 References
  • IWASAKI Akito
    Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical and Environmental Informatics
  • ISERI Yoshihiko
    Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Civil Engineering
  • LIM Wee Ho
    Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Civil Engineering
  • KANAE Shinjiro
    Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Civil Engineering

Bibliographic Information

Other Title
  • 熱帯低気圧による全球経済的損失の将来推計
  • ネッタイ テイキアツ ニ ヨル ゼン キュウ ケイザイテキ ソンシツ ノ ショウライ スイケイ

Search this article

Abstract

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are often associated with heavy rains and storm surges that bring severe damage to human society. Previous studies have indicated the possible increasing of TC intensity in the future. Thus, it is important to predict future TC losses. In this study, we developed regression models to estimate economic losses caused by TCs at global scale. The models used pressure drop, exposed population and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita as inputs. Furthermore, economic losses in 2100 were projected by considering socioeconomic and/or climate change based on A1B scenario. In addition, future losses with socioeconomic and climate change under four different social scenarios were also estimated. In the results, global economic loss and ratio of economic loss to GDP would increase with socioeconomic and climate change. The increase of losses is mainly because of socioeconomic changes (particularly in the North Indian and the Southern Hemisphere regions) rather than climate change.

Journal

References(11)*help

See more

Related Projects

See more

Keywords

Details 詳細情報について

Report a problem

Back to top