Analysis of economic impacts projected by FUND's impact functions for water sectors using multiple climate scenarios and socio-economic scenarios
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- ISERI Yoshihiko
- School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology
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- MIYAZAKI Chihiro
- Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology
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- GAO Lu
- School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology
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- YOSHIKAWA Sayaka
- School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology
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- KANAE Shinjiro
- School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 複数の将来気候シナリオと社会経済シナリオを入力した統合評価モデルFUNDの水分野影響関数による経済被害推計値の特性分析
- フクスウ ノ ショウライ キコウ シナリオ ト シャカイ ケイザイ シナリオ オ ニュウリョク シタ トウゴウ ヒョウカ モデル FUND ノ ミズ ブンヤ エイキョウ カンスウ ニ ヨル ケイザイ ヒガイ スイケイチ ノ トクセイ ブンセキ
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Abstract
This study employs the updated climate scenarios and socio-economic scenarios in order to evaluate uncertainties and characteristics of projected economic impacts using impact functions of FUND model, which is as integrated assessment model having detailed sector-specific impact functions. We, in particular, focused on impact functions for water sectors: water resources, tropical storm, and sea level rise. The result susggested damages in three sectors would keep increasing under Representative Concentratin Pathwas 8.5 scenario, regardless of socio-economic scenarios. In addition, comparions of damages among three socio-economics scenarios (i.e. Shared Socio-econoic Pathways (SSPs) 1-3) revealed damages in water sector and tropical storm follow SSP3 > SSP1 ≈ SSP2, while damages in sea level rise follows SSP3 > SSP1 > SSP2.
Journal
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- Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research)
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Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research) 72 (5), I_213-I_221, 2016
Japan Society of Civil Engineers
