GLOBAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF SEA LEVEL RISE BASED ON RCP/SSP SCENARIOS
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- YOTSUKURI Mizuki
- パシフィックコンサルタンツ株式会社
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- TAMURA Makoto
- 茨城大学 地球変動適応科学研究機関
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- KUMANO Naoko
- 茨城大学 地球変動適応科学研究機関
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- MASUNAGA Eiji
- 茨城大学 広域水圏環境科学教育研究センター
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- YOKOKI Hiromune
- 茨城大学 工学部都市システム工学科
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- RCP・SSPシナリオに基づく全球沿岸域での海面上昇による浸水影響評価
- RCP ・ SSP シナリオ ニ モトズク ゼン キュウ エンガンイキ デ ノ カイメン ジョウショウ ニ ヨル シンスイ エイキョウ ヒョウカ
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Abstract
The objective of this study was to assess global impact of sea level rise based on RCP/SSP scenarios. Global areas of inundation due to seal level rise and astronomical high tide were identified. Combining the results of inundated areas based on RCP scenarios with SSP scenarios, the populations affected and the economic damages caused by inundation due to future climate change were also estimated. Consequently, potential inundated areas vary 370 thousand km2 (RCP2.6) to 420 thousand km2 (RCP8.5) and affected population vary 55.3 million (RCP2.6, SSP1) to 106 million (RCP8.5, SSP3) in 2100. This quantitative information is expected to be valuable in implementing desirable adaptations according to the regional conditions.
Journal
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- Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research)
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Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. G (Environmental Research) 73 (5), I_369-I_376, 2017
Japan Society of Civil Engineers