Prediction of the number of asthmatic attacks of each generation in Himeji by Fuzzy-AR model

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  • Fuzzy-ARモデルを用いた姫路市の年代別喘息発作数予測
  • Fuzzy-AR モデル オ モチイタ ヒメジシ ノ ネンダイ ベツ ゼンソク ホッサスウ ヨソク

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Abstract

In our study, prediction of the number of asthmatic attacks in Himeji city next month from 1 to 4 years old and 65 years old or older. Fuzzy-AR model learns from 2001 to 2005 and predicts the number of asthmatic attacks using data from 2006 to 2010. We evaluated our prediction results by using correlation coefficient between predicted value and ground truth value and compared Fuzzy-AR model and AR model. As a result, 65 years old or older was not able to be predicted by each model. However in age of 1 to 4, Fuzzy-AR model was able to predict higher correlation coefficient than AR model.

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