Inter-temporal Comparative Analysis of Perceived Risk of Crime in the 2000s

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Other Title
  • 犯罪リスク認知の規定構造の時点問比較分析
  • 犯罪リスク認知の規定構造の時点間比較分析 : 犯罪へのまなざしの過熱期と沈静化期
  • ハンザイ リスク ニンチ ノ キテイ コウゾウ ノ ジテン カン ヒカク ブンセキ : ハンザイ エ ノ マナザシ ノ カネツキ ト チンセイカキ
  • 犯罪へのまなざしの過熱期と沈静化期

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Abstract

This paper attempts to reveal how the perceived risk of crime changed in the 2000s in Japan based on an empirical analysis of social survey data. Firstly, by referring to existing social surveys we highlight that consciousness concerning crime heated up in the first half of 2000s, and then it cooled of Secondly, we consider how the determinants of the perceived risk of crime have altered in the transition from "Hot" to "Cool." We conducted an inter-temporal comparative analysis of the data of Japanese General Social Surveys (JGSS) in the 2000s. The findings reveal that married men having young children and white-collar or high-educated women were more likely to perceive the risk of crime in the first half of 2000s. However, these effects disappeared in the last half of the 2000s. Previous research indicates that it is difficult to explain the attribution effects in Japan by use of the Western "vulnerability" hypothesis. The result of our study indicates that Japanese perceptions were formed in a specific period in the first half of the 2000s in which killing rampages were recognized as a serious social problem and consciousness concerning crime heated up.

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