Changes of Strain before Earthquakes: The Possibility of Routine Monitoring of Both Long-Term and Short-Term Precursors.

DOI Web Site 参考文献41件

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • Changes of Strain before Earthquakes Th

この論文をさがす

説明

Earthquakes are extraordinarily complicated phenomena and deterministic prediction of the magnitude, time and place of large earthquakes is likely to be intrinsically impossible. A more simple phenomenon, the build up of deformation which leads to the earthquake, can be monitored by the behaviour of seismic shear waves, and this offers a way of forecasting the proximity of large earthquakes. Recent results, including field observations of shear waves before earthquakes, laboratory experiments with stress cells, and theoretical modelling of microscale deformation, demonstrate that long-term precursory build-up of deformation can be monitored for some years before a large earthquake. There may even be the possibility of identifying short-term precursors a few hours or days before the earthquake. This paper suggests that reliable routine earthquake forecasting would require controlled seismic experiments between a specific pattern of deep wells.

収録刊行物

参考文献 (41)*注記

もっと見る

詳細情報 詳細情報について

問題の指摘

ページトップへ