ある高齢人口減少都市における高齢者入所系施設の縮減・再編シミュレーション手法と課題

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  • SIMULATION OF OPTIMIZING CAPACITY OF FACILITY FOR THE ELDERLY AT A CITY WHERE THE SENIOR POPULATION HAS DECREASED
  • アル コウレイ ジンコウ ゲンショウ トシ ニ オケル コウレイシャ ニュウショケイ シセツ ノ シュクゲン ・ サイヘン シミュレーション シュホウ ト カダイ

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<p>This study proposes a re-organizing planning method of the facility for the elderly by simulation of optimizing capacity and demand in a local city and discusses on matters of it. We estimated the number of bed demand based on the future estimation of senior population, judged the excess or deficiency of the capacity of the existing facilities, and examined the facilities whether they should be re-organized. As a result, we could estimate the number of bed demand precisely based on the over 75 years old people population, but in some case, we need more precise data of user ratio per population over 75 years. And it is also a matter how to deal inpatient who will be enrolled facilities at other cities and who will come from other cities.</p>

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