Modeling the relative roles of the foehn wind and urban expansion in the 2002 Beijing heat wave and possible mitigation by high reflective roofs

  • Miyasaka Takafumi
    Japan Meteorological Business Support Center Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo
  • Kawase Hiroaki
    Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency
  • Nakaegawa Tosiyuki
    Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency
  • Imada Yukiko
    Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency
  • Takayabu Izuru
    Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • Future Projections of Heavy Precipitation in Kanto and Associated Weather Patterns Using Large Ensemble High-Resolution Simulations

説明

<p>Heavy precipitation in Japan is caused by various phenomena, such as tropical cyclones and the Baiu front, and shows regional-scale variation. Here we investigate extremely heavy precipitation events exceeding the 100-year return period in the Kanto area and future projections of such events using large ensemble climate simulations for periods of several thousand years. To understand these extreme events, associated sea level pressure anomalies over Japan and the surrounding region are classified into four clusters. These cluster means are characterized by (1) a strong anomalous cyclone, (2) a weak anomalous cyclone, (3) an anomalous cyclone accompanied by an anomalous anticyclone to the north, and (4) an anomalous anticyclone to the north. The cluster with a strong anomalous cyclone is accompanied by widely distributed heavy precipitation, and its area-averaged precipitation is predicted to be more enhanced under global warming than that of other clusters, partly because of an increase in the strength of strong tropical cyclones approaching Kanto. The cluster dominated by an anomalous anticyclone is characterized by localized heavy precipitation in the plains area. The relative frequency of this cluster will increase, whereas that of other clusters will decrease under global warming.</p>

収録刊行物

  • SOLA

    SOLA 16 (0), 125-131, 2020

    公益社団法人 日本気象学会

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参考文献 (24)*注記

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