ANALYSIS ON THE IMPACT OF ABOLISHING LOCAL RAILWAYS ON SOCIAL POPULATION CHANGE BY AGE GROUPS IN THE CATCHMENT AREA OF STATIONS BY PROPENSITY SCORE MATCHING

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  • 傾向スコアマッチングを用いた地方鉄道の存廃が駅勢圏における年齢階層別人口の社会増減に及ぼす影響

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<p> This study estimated the effect of abolishing local railways on social population change by age group in station catchment areas using propensity score matching for stations abolished between 1981 and 1990. Results indicate that abolishing local railways had a statistically negative impact on social change for 10-14 years old at the beginning of the study period, including those who will graduate from high school within five years. Negative impacts were also observed for 30-34 and 35-39 years old, including those who will have life events such as child rearing and marriage; and 60-64 and 65-69 years old. In addition, we revealed that abolishing local railways had a negative impact on long-term social change on those in their 20s and 50s at the beginning of the study period.</p>

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