Myanmar's Optimal Power Generation Mix and Grid Interconnection Considering Climate Policies: A Quantitative Analysis Using a Cost Minimization Model

DOI
  • Ikarii Ryohei
    (一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 計量分析ユニット
  • Iino Yumiko
    元(一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 戦略研究ユニット
  • Matsuo Yuji
    立命館アジア太平洋大学 アジア太平洋学部 (一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 計量分析ユニット

Bibliographic Information

Other Title
  • 気候変動対策を考慮したミャンマーの最適電源構成と国際連系線に関する評価：コスト最小化モデルを用いた定量分析

Abstract

In Myanmar, it is unclear how long the political turmoil caused by the military coup will last. However, one of the keys to sustainable economic development of the country and living standard improvement of the people continues to be tackling the increasing demand for electricity. This requires Myanmar’s government to construct an electricity supply system based on long-term planning and to consider the installation of international interconnection lines under the situation where many countries is starting to go forward to decarbonization. Therefore, this paper illustrates the preferable energy mix for Myanmar in 2050 from the perspective of the 3Es (economic efficiency, environmental sustainability and energy security) in multiple scenarios, setting different carbon prices and hydropower potentials for Myanmar. In conclusion, Myanmar should strongly promote hydropower development, including large-scale power plants, which will contribute to ensuring the 3Es, and also promote the development of international interconnection lines with neighboring Thailand, which will improve the fiscal revenue from the electricity export.

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Keywords

Details 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390011926279215744
  • DOI
    10.24778/jjser.43.5_186
  • ISSN
    24330531
  • Text Lang
    ja
  • Data Source
    • JaLC
  • Abstract License Flag
    Disallowed

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