経済危機が雇用に与える影響 : causal forestを用いた試論

DOI 機関リポジトリ 機関リポジトリ (HANDLE) オープンアクセス

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • The Impact of Economic Crisis on Regional Employment : A Causal Forest Approach

この論文をさがす

説明

This paper analyzes the impacts of economic shocks on Japanese regional employment using causal forest algorithms, and our data-drive findings are compared with those estimated under the standard OLS estimation. Our results are as follows. The largest declines in employment growth during the recessionary period associated with the crisis are in industries and regions where employment grew before the crisis, and in industries that have a large share of employment in the region. These results differ from the standard OLS results, which show that the negative impact of shocks is greater in regions with higher unemployment rates. In addition, testing the robustness with respect to outliers, which are samples that could be arbitrarily removed, we show that the results obtained by causal forests are robust, but those of OLS are not.

収録刊行物

  • 経済科学

    経済科学 70 (4), 31-43, 2023-03

    名古屋大学大学院経済学研究科

キーワード

詳細情報 詳細情報について

問題の指摘

ページトップへ