An estimation of the effects of the openings of Shinkansen-stations on municipal population using the synthetic control method

DOI
  • Takebayashi Kanto
    Graduate School of Business Administration, Kobe University
  • Seya Hajime
    Department of Civil Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kobe University
  • Murata Yoshiyuki
    Department of Civil Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kobe University

Bibliographic Information

Other Title
  • 新幹線駅の新設が市区町村の人口に与えた影響―Synthetic Control Methodを用いて―

Abstract

<p>This study analyzes the individual treatment effects on the treated of the openings of Shinkansen-stations on municipal population in the postwar period using the Synthetic Control Method. The main findings are as follows. First, the effects of Shinkansen station opening are mixed positive and negative. Second, the treatment effects are positively correlated with the population at the opening of the Shinkansen. Third, the treatment effects have weakened over time, especially since the 1980s. Fourth, the treatment effects tend to weaken rapidly with increasing distance from the current ordinance-designated city, but the decline is not monotonous. This study complements studies on the estimation of the effects of transportation infrastructure investments analyzed by the Difference in Differences and instrumental variables methods.</p>

Journal

Keywords

Details 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390015133365485056
  • DOI
    10.34438/arsc.2023.27_1
  • ISSN
    24354414
    1880960X
  • Text Lang
    ja
  • Data Source
    • JaLC
  • Abstract License Flag
    Disallowed

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