Probabilistic Safety Assessment Method of Ship
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- Kaneko Fujio
- 運輸省船舶技術研究所
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- Ohta Susumu
- 運輸省船舶技術研究所
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- Dai Xiauxun
- (株) 公共情報システム研究所
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- Fukumoto Masaaki
- 運輸省船舶技術研究所
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 船舶の確率論的安全評価手法
- センパク ノ カクリツロンテキ アンゼン ヒョウカ シュホウ ソノ 2 FSA ジツゲン ノ タメ ノ リスク ヒョウカ ノ ホウホウロン
- 船舶の確率論的安全評価手法 : その2 : FSA実現のためのリスク評価の方法論
- Part 2 : A Risk Evaluation Methodology for FSA
- その2 : FSA実現のためのリスク評価の方法論
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Abstract
Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) considered at IMO, is formal methodology for improving the transparency and accountability of decision related to amendment to the regulations. FSA consists of PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment) and cost and benefit assessment. Risk assessment is the most important and difficult part to realize FSA. This paper introduces a methodology for risk assessment and a system for risk assessment composed of several programs including disaster development simulation and evacuation simulation. Furthermore, the result of the trial application of the system, in which the effect of sprinkler systems, i.e., one of the Risk Control Options (RCOs), on the risk due to cabin fire is estimated. Though there are many defects and problems in the system and the methodology at present, i.e., discussed in this paper, the methodology is considered to contribute for reducing the arbitrariness at the decision related to rule making process.
Journal
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- Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Japan
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Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Japan 1999 (186), 569-580, 1999
The Japan Society of Naval Architects and Ocean Engineers
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390282679070822912
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- NII Article ID
- 110003862310
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- NII Book ID
- AN00194094
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- ISSN
- 18842070
- 05148499
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- NDL BIB ID
- 4983360
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- NDL
- Crossref
- NDL-Digital
- CiNii Articles
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed