Intention of car use, its motive and reduction potential by various policies based on the assumption of evacuation from tsunami disaster generated by Nankai Trough earthquake

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  • 南海トラフ巨大地震を想定した津波避難における自動車利用意向とその動機及び抑制可能性
  • ナンカイ トラフキョダイジシン オ ソウテイ シタ ツナミ ヒナン ニ オケル ジドウシャ リヨウ イコウ ト ソノ ドウキ オヨビ ヨクセイ カノウセイ

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Abstract

Since the Great East Japan Earthquake, central and local governments have been discussing about evacuation by car from tsunami disaster. The purpose of this study is to clarify intention of car use, its motive and reduction potential based on the assumption of evacuation from tsunami disaster generated by Nankai Trough earthquake. Main Results show the following. 1) If a huge Nankai Trough earthquake occurs, about half of inhabitants evacuate by car. 2) There is a high possibility that small household shifts to evacuation on foot in case of implementing various policies. 3) Even if the support system for person who require relief is developed, it's difficult for household with older person to shift to evacuation on foot.

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