Scheduling Behavior Models of Air Travel Considering Uncertainties

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  • 不確実性を考慮した航空移動スケジュール決定行動モデルの構築

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This paper attempts to clarify the role of uncertainty by building a scheduling behavior model for air business trips. The two variables used to express the uncertainty are “subjective probability for flight delays”, and “safety margin” at both the airport and destination. The mixed logit model was used, which can incorporate both heterogeniety among individuals as well as hogeniety among choices. The following findings were obtained from the results of model.: 1. subjective probabilities concerning flight delays and safety margin can express individual recognition of delays, 2. mixed logit model is effective in explaining air travel scheduling behavior.

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