AN EVALUATION SYSTEM FOR MANAGING ASPHALT PAVEMENTS BASED ON MARKOV CHAIN MODEL

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  • マルコフ連鎖モデルによるアスファルト舗装の破損評価システム
  • マルコフ レンサ モデル ニ ヨル アスファルト ホソウ ノ ハソン ヒョウカ

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Abstract

The object of this study is to develop an evaluation system for managing asphalt pavements based on Markov chain model. Deterioration process, reliability, effects of rehabilitation, and steady state probability of asphalt pavements can be evaluated by this system. In this paper, the Markov chain model methodology is explained, and the application of this system to actual asphalt pavements in Tohdku district is described. As the results, transition matrices for asphalt pavement performance are obtained, and the effects of rehabilitation are estimated quantitatively by this system.

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